Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000509 0.000566 0.000627 0.000699 0.000781 0.000872 0.000980
2025-12-14 0.000414 0.000492 0.000583 0.000700 0.000845 0.001021 0.001253
2025-12-21 0.000363 0.000453 0.000565 0.000717 0.000920 0.001185 0.001564
2025-12-28 0.000315 0.000409 0.000530 0.000703 0.000946 0.001283 0.001798
2026-01-04 0.000284 0.000380 0.000509 0.000701 0.000984 0.001399 0.002071
2026-01-11 0.000260 0.000357 0.000493 0.000702 0.001024 0.001519 0.002368
2026-01-18 0.000241 0.000339 0.000480 0.000705 0.001067 0.001647 0.002697
2026-01-25 0.000223 0.000321 0.000465 0.000703 0.001098 0.001759 0.003017
2026-02-01 0.000210 0.000309 0.000458 0.000711 0.001147 0.001905 0.003423
2026-02-08 0.000196 0.000293 0.000444 0.000706 0.001171 0.002011 0.003770
2026-02-15 0.000185 0.000280 0.000433 0.000703 0.001199 0.002128 0.004162
2026-02-22 0.000175 0.000270 0.000424 0.000704 0.001233 0.002259 0.004607
2026-03-01 0.000167 0.000262 0.000420 0.000715 0.001290 0.002448 0.005236
2026-03-08 0.000158 0.000253 0.000413 0.000718 0.001332 0.002616 0.005862
2026-03-15 0.000153 0.000249 0.000413 0.000737 0.001407 0.002867 0.006759
2026-03-22 0.000143 0.000236 0.000397 0.000722 0.001411 0.002958 0.007264
2026-03-29 0.000136 0.000227 0.000389 0.000720 0.001442 0.003119 0.008005
2026-04-05 0.000130 0.000220 0.000382 0.000721 0.001479 0.003302 0.008863
2026-04-12 0.000125 0.000213 0.000377 0.000725 0.001524 0.003510 0.009865
2026-04-19 0.000119 0.000206 0.000369 0.000722 0.001553 0.003684 0.010812
2026-04-26 0.000115 0.000202 0.000366 0.000730 0.001610 0.003943 0.012141
2026-05-03 0.000110 0.000195 0.000358 0.000725 0.001631 0.004107 0.013189
2026-05-10 0.000106 0.000189 0.000351 0.000723 0.001661 0.004301 0.014425